SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
56.34% ( -5.25) | 20.05% ( 1.41) | 23.6% ( 3.84) |
| Both teams to score 67.57% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.66% ( -1.74) | 29.33% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.61% ( -2.15) | 50.38% ( 2.15) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.39% ( -1.78) | 10.61% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.59% ( -4.14) | 34.4% ( 4.13) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( 2.03) | 24.41% ( -2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( 2.78) | 58.83% ( -2.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.53)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.36)1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.69)3-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.63)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.64)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.45)4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.41)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.47% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.4)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.05% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.76) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.29)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.6% |
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