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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
27.02% ( -0.37) | 21.67% ( -0.1) | 51.31% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 65.25% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.17) | 33.89% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( 0.2) | 55.74% ( -0.2) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.15) | 24.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( -0.21) | 58.98% ( 0.21) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( 0.21) | 13.56% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% ( 0.42) | 40.65% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.02% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.31% |
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