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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 17, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
3 - 5
Kyoto Sanga

Bueno (45'), Kitano (79'), Ceara (90+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-3)
Elias (12', 56', 65'), Hara (17'), Fukuda (28')
Kaneko (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, August 11 at 10.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawKyoto Sanga
42.84% (-0.235 -0.23) 26.32% (-0.162 -0.16) 30.84% (0.394 0.39)
Both teams to score 51.85% (0.679 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37% (0.789 0.79)52.63% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (0.672 0.67)74.28% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.23299999999999 0.23)24.36% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.32899999999999 0.33)58.77% (-0.329 -0.33)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.687 0.69)31.45% (-0.689 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (0.787 0.79)67.83% (-0.78800000000001 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 42.84%
    Kyoto Sanga 30.84%
    Draw 26.31%
Cerezo OsakaDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, August 11 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.15am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Cerezo
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Monday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-5 Stuttgart
Sunday, July 28 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, July 14 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in J1 League


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