J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Coming into this clash in a good vein of form, Cerezo should be confident of recording their fourth straight home win across all competitions on Sunday.
Nagoya battled on with a numerical disadvantage during their loss earlier in the week, and we feel that it could be another difficult day for the Grampus Eight in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
35.6% ( -0.22) | 27.46% ( 0.11) | 36.94% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0.36) |
| 43.78% ( -0.45) | 56.22% ( 0.45) |
| 22.73% ( -0.36) | 77.27% ( 0.36) |
| 69.9% ( -0.36) | 30.1% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0.43) | 66.24% ( 0.44) |
| 70.72% ( -0.15) | 29.28% ( 0.15) |
