Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28.88% ( 0.36)	26.19% ( 0.45)	44.93% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

-1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.03% (

-1.61)

52.97% (

1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.43% (

-1.39)

74.57% (

1.39)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

-0.57)

33.06% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

-0.64)

69.66% (

0.64)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

-1.07)

23.5% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

-1.57)

57.53% (

1.58)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 28.88%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.92%

Draw 26.19%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.88%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.92%