SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
36.64% ( 0.03) | 29.37% ( 0.01) | 33.99% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.88% ( -0.05) | 63.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.45% ( -0.03) | 82.55% ( 0.03) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.06% ( -0) | 32.94% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.48% ( -0) | 69.52% ( 0) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.06) | 34.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( -0.06) | 71.44% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 33.98% |
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