SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Miramar Misiones had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Miramar Misiones win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
42.27% ( 0.13) | 26.41% ( -0.05) | 31.32% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( 0.2) | 52.82% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( 0.17) | 74.44% ( -0.17) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.16) | 24.74% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.71% ( 0.22) | 59.29% ( -0.21) |
| Miramar Misiones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( 0.06) | 31.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( 0.06) | 67.56% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Progreso | Draw | Miramar Misiones |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.32% |
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