SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.16%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.51%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
60.09% ( -0.13) | 25.88% ( 0.27) | 14.03% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 33.96% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.45% ( -0.91) | 65.54% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.73% ( -0.64) | 84.27% ( 0.64) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.44) | 22.2% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.38% ( -0.67) | 55.62% ( 0.67) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.77) | 56.35% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.32% ( -0.45) | 88.67% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 18.82% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.07% | 0-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.42) 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.24% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.03% |
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