Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Porteno in this match.
| Result |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Alianza Lima |
50.25% ( -4.05) | 25.78% ( 1.02) | 23.97% ( 3.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( 0.68) |
| 45.41% ( -0.95) | 54.59% ( 0.95) |
| 24.07% ( -0.8) | 75.93% ( 0.8) |
| 78.24% ( -2.06) | 21.76% ( 2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.05% ( -3.24) | 54.95% ( 3.24) |
| 61.97% ( 2.43) | 38.03% ( -2.44) |
