SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fluminense |
41.28% ( 0.39) | 25.83% ( -0.1) | 32.89% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( 0.35) | 49.95% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( 0.31) | 71.93% ( -0.32) |
| Cerro Porteno Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( 0.35) | 23.96% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( 0.51) | 58.19% ( -0.51) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.01) | 28.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -0.01) | 64.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Porteno | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.89% |
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