Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
