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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Liverpool |
46.68% ( 0.47) | 27.27% ( 0.11) | 26.05% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% ( -0.72) | 58.51% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% ( -0.57) | 79.09% ( 0.56) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( -0.09) | 25.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( -0.13) | 59.78% ( 0.13) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.9) | 38.35% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.89% ( -0.87) | 75.1% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.05% |
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