SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 27.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
42.61% ( 4.76) | 29.47% ( 0.41) | 27.92% ( -5.17) |
| Both teams to score 41.71% ( -2.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.24% ( -2.58) | 64.76% ( 2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.28% ( -1.85) | 83.72% ( 1.85) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 1.51) | 30.19% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% ( 1.77) | 66.35% ( -1.77) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( -5.41) | 40.25% ( 5.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( -5.3) | 76.88% ( 5.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( 1.87) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( 1.43)2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.33% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 12.15% ( 1.11)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.44)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.47% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -1.03)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -1.11)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.65)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.33)Other @ 1.35% Total : 27.91% |
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