SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 47.81%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro |
47.81% ( -0.12) | 29.06% ( 0.04) | 23.13% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 39.39% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.11% ( -0.04) | 65.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.49% ( -0.03) | 84.51% ( 0.03) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -0.08) | 27.96% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( -0.1) | 63.6% ( 0.11) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.68% ( 0.06) | 45.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.81% ( 0.05) | 81.19% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 16.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.22% Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.06% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.13% |
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