SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw has a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cerro has a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.8%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Cerro win it is 0-1 (4.45%).
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Cerro |
70.49% ( 1.72) | 19.39% ( -0.98) | 10.12% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 39.13% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( 1.88) | 51.73% ( -1.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% ( 1.61) | 73.51% ( -1.61) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( 1.12) | 13.5% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.45% ( 2.19) | 40.54% ( -2.2) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.24% ( -0.3) | 54.76% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.26% ( -0.18) | 87.74% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Cerro |
| 2-0 @ 14.82% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.51)3-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.46)2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.18% Total : 70.48% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 19.39% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.64% Total : 10.12% |
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