The environment and big crowds at Bank of America Stadium seem to give the home side a decisive advantage, and we believe it will again this weekend, as the Loons look like they are still searching for their identity under new management and are struggling to create much without the presence of Reynoso.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
-0.05) 
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