SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Aveley |
51.44% ( -0.09) | 25.75% ( 0.01) | 22.8% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.33% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0.05) | 55.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( 0.04) | 76.65% ( -0.04) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.02) | 21.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.29% ( -0.03) | 54.71% ( 0.03) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.38% ( 0.11) | 39.62% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.7% ( 0.1) | 76.3% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.3% 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.43% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.8% |
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