SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
61% ( -0.03) | 21.04% ( 0.08) | 17.95% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.47) | 42.23% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( -0.47) | 64.63% ( 0.46) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.62% ( -0.16) | 13.37% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.71% ( -0.32) | 40.28% ( 0.31) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.92% ( -0.35) | 37.07% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( -0.34) | 73.86% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 60.99% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 17.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
