SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
71.8% ( 0.2) | 16.53% ( -0.06) | 11.67% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.1) | 34.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.11) | 56.54% ( 0.1) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( 0.02) | 8.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.66% ( 0.05) | 29.34% ( -0.05) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.3) | 40.76% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.66% ( -0.27) | 77.34% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 71.8% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 11.67% |
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