SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 3-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
67.34% ( -0.23) | 17.29% ( 0.04) | 15.36% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.7% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.93% ( 0.24) | 29.06% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.94% ( 0.3) | 50.05% ( -0.3) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.98% ( 0.01) | 8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.77% ( 0.04) | 28.22% ( -0.04) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( 0.39) | 31.83% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.72% ( 0.45) | 68.27% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.5% 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 67.34% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.29% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 15.36% |
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