SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Leeds United |
35.53% ( -0.07) | 24.32% ( 0.07) | 40.15% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.37) | 42.58% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( -0.37) | 64.98% ( 0.37) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.21) | 23.65% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( -0.31) | 57.75% ( 0.31) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.16) | 21.29% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( -0.24) | 54.23% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.15% |
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