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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.32%. A draw has a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chelsea has a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 3-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Chelsea win it is 1-2 (2.35%).
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
80.32% ( 1.12) | 11.52% ( -0.77) | 8.15% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 62.04% ( 2.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.46% ( 3.04) | 19.54% ( -3.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.56% ( 4.26) | 37.43% ( -4.26) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.24% ( 0.72) | 3.76% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.9% ( 2.3) | 16.09% ( -2.31) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( 1.98) | 35.53% ( -1.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( 2) | 72.3% ( -2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
| 3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.53)2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.92)4-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.84)5-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.41)5-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.32)6-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.34)6-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.22)5-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.32)6-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.23)4-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.17)7-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.21)7-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 4.31% Total : 80.33% | 1-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.35% Total : 11.52% | 1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.09% Total : 8.15% |
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