Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 70.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
