Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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