Cheltenham may have avoided defeat in their last three home league games, but we think that they will be edged out by an Oxford side that boasts best away record in the division after picking up 18 points from their eight away games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Oxford United
21.23% ( -0.02)	23.06% ( 0)	55.71% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

-0.03)

46.44% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

-0.03)

68.72% (

0.03)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-0.04)

36.07% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-0.04)

72.85% (

0.04)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

-0)

16.5% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.76% (

-0.01)

46.24% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 21.23%

Oxford United 55.7%

Draw 23.06%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 21.23%	1-1 @ 10.93% 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.7%