SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Rongcheng would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Shanghai Port |
51.97% ( -1.43) | 22.25% ( 0.36) | 25.78% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.67) | 37.82% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.72) | 60.07% ( 0.72) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( -0.7) | 14.73% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.06% ( -1.35) | 42.94% ( 1.35) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( 0.44) | 27.45% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( 0.57) | 62.94% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.19% Total : 51.97% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.78% |
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