SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Salford City |
40.1% ( -3.13) | 23.87% ( 0.11) | 36.03% ( 3.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( 0.19) | 40.32% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( 0.2) | 62.7% ( -0.2) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -1.31) | 20.35% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( -2.13) | 52.74% ( 2.12) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( 1.75) | 22.35% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.16% ( 2.55) | 55.84% ( -2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.43)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.03% |
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