SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.18% ( -0.65) | 23.19% ( -0.22) | 39.63% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 64.56% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.15% ( 1.07) | 36.85% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.97% ( 1.16) | 59.02% ( -1.16) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( 0.16) | 20.21% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% ( 0.26) | 52.53% ( -0.26) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.86) | 19.08% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( 1.41) | 50.68% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.46% Total : 39.63% |
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