SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Aston Villa |
53.63% ( -0.28) | 21.86% ( 0.1) | 24.5% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 61.84% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( -0.26) | 37.24% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( -0.28) | 59.44% ( 0.28) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -0.18) | 13.99% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.5% ( -0.35) | 41.5% ( 0.35) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.01) | 28.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( 0.01) | 63.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Brugge | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.86% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.55% Total : 24.5% |
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