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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
49.64% ( -0.03) | 22.63% ( 0.02) | 27.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.07) | 37.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.76% ( -0.08) | 60.23% ( 0.08) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.04) | 15.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( -0.07) | 44.54% ( 0.07) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.03) | 26.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( -0.04) | 61.22% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.64% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.74% |
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