Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
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