Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.16) 
