SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Larne had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Larne |
44.84% ( 0.36) | 26.54% ( 0.11) | 28.63% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.56% ( -0.64) | 54.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.19% ( -0.54) | 75.81% ( 0.54) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.11) | 24.18% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.5% ( -0.15) | 58.5% ( 0.16) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.7) | 34.03% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.29% ( -0.76) | 70.71% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.63% |
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