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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
0 - 2
Boca Juniors


Quinteros (36'), Bouzat (45'), Fuentes (59'), Falcon (61'), Gutierrez (63')
Palacios (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Advincula (13'), Villa (65')
Roncaglia (70'), Barco (75+75'), Barco (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Colo-Colo and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Monagas
Thursday, April 20 at 2am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Racing
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawBoca Juniors
38.02% (-0.184 -0.18) 29.82% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 32.16% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 42.32% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.24% (-0.142 -0.14)64.76% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.28% (-0.099 -0.1)83.72% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.191 -0.19)32.92% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.214 -0.21)69.5% (0.21799999999999 0.22)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.09% (0.020000000000003 0.02)36.91% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.3% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.7% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 38.02%
    Boca Juniors 32.16%
    Draw 29.82%
Colo-ColoDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 13.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.02%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.15% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.82%
0-1 @ 12.11% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 32.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Monagas
Thursday, April 20 at 2am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, April 6 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 River Plate
Wednesday, November 9 at 11.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Internacional 4-1 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-1 Racing
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 2-2 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 23 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Dep. Pereira
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, April 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Boca Juniors
Wednesday, April 12 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Colon
Monday, April 10 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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