SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
42.64% ( -0.12) | 27.41% ( 0.02) | 29.94% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.02) | 57.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( -0.02) | 78.02% ( 0.02) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.07) | 26.51% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( -0.09) | 61.71% ( 0.09) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.07) | 34.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 0.07) | 71.17% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colorado Rapids | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.63% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.94% |
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