SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
58.52% ( 0.25) | 21.46% ( -0.1) | 20.02% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.26) | 40.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% ( 0.26) | 63.29% ( -0.25) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( 0.16) | 13.7% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% ( 0.32) | 40.93% ( -0.31) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 0) | 34.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 0) | 70.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.52% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.02% |
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