Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Columbus Crew has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win is 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.16%).