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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
52.77% ( 0.31) | 22.95% ( 0.15) | 24.27% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( -1.15) | 42.55% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -1.16) | 64.95% ( 1.15) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( -0.3) | 16.14% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.42% ( -0.56) | 45.58% ( 0.55) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( -1) | 31.16% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -1.18) | 67.5% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.42% Total : 52.77% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 24.27% |
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