SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
46.95% ( 0.7) | 23% ( -0.18) | 30.05% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 62.71% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( 0.56) | 38.22% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( 0.59) | 60.5% ( -0.59) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.48) | 16.64% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( 0.86) | 46.48% ( -0.86) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.05) | 24.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( -0.07) | 59.33% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.36% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.05% |
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