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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.45am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
FC

Columbus Crew
1 - 2
Cincinnati

Arfsten (89')
Zawadzki (38'), Camacho (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelsy (74'), Acosta (76')
Miazga (34'), Kubo (37'), Nwobodo (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 2 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 FC Cincinnati

Columbus' record in this fixture coupled with their home form makes them huge favourites to come out on top here. We are backing the hosts to secure maximum points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
53.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 22.61%23.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)41.54% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)63.94% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.49% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)31.04% (0.052000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)67.35% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 53.62%
    FC Cincinnati 23.77%
    Draw 22.61%
Columbus CrewDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06%
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 53.62%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 23.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monterrey 1-3 Columbus Crew
Thursday, May 2 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Monterrey
Thursday, April 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Portland
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, April 14 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Tigres 1-1 Columbus Crew (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Colorado
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer


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