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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
35.65% ( 0.01) | 23.71% ( 0) | 40.64% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.39% ( -0.01) | 39.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.05% ( -0.01) | 61.95% ( 0.01) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0) | 22.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0.01) | 55.65% ( -0.01) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( -0.01) | 19.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -0.02) | 51.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.65% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.65% |
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