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Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
SK

Portland
2 - 1
Kansas

Mora (53'), Evander (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (64')
Rodriguez (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 Sporting Kansas City

Neither side have been particularly strong defensively this season, with Portland averaging over two goals conceded per game, while Kansas average just under two goals. On the other hand, both teams rank among the highest scorers of the Western Conference, so fans could be in for an entertaining matchup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSporting Kansas City
43.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 23.48%32.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)39.33% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)61.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.28% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)49.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.76% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08%57.91% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 43.9%
    Sporting Kansas City 32.61%
    Draw 23.47%
Portland TimbersDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 12 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Portland
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Portland
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-2 Kansas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, April 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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