Of teams inside the bottom half of the table, attack-minded Como have attempted the most shots, while only Parma and Empoli have conceded more than Lecce this season.
Having acquitted themselves well against Roma and Inter in recent weeks, the Lariani should therefore beat opponents that rarely travel well.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
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