SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Como |
37.68% ( 0.49) | 26.71% ( 0.09) | 35.61% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -0.4) | 53.22% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -0.34) | 74.78% ( 0.34) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.09) | 27.4% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( 0.12) | 62.87% ( -0.12) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.55) | 28.63% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.56% ( -0.69) | 64.43% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.61% |
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