Venezia's two wins so far have both come on home turf, and how they fare at their lagoonside headquarters will surely dictate whether the Lagunari survive this season.
As Lecce have proven too easy to exploit and are yet to find the right formula up front, expect Marco Giampolo's latest dugout debut to end in defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
-0.38) 
0.35) 
