Lazio have both won and lost half of their Serie A away games this season, but they are more than capable of improving that record at Lecce's expense. Responding to an awful collapse on Monday, Marco Baroni can get the better of his old club and boost the Biancocelesti's push for a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Lazio
23.2% ( -0.84)	25.6% ( -0.44)	51.19% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 48.2% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.44% (

0.94)

54.56% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.09% (

0.77)

75.9% (

-0.77)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.28% (

-0.27)

38.72% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54% (

-0.26)

75.46% (

0.26)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.94)

21.34% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69% (

1.43)

54.31% (

-1.43)

Score Analysis

Lecce 23.2%

Lazio 51.19%

Draw 25.6%

Lecce	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.2%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.19%