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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
TN

Congo DR
1 - 0
Togo

Elia (6')
Kayembe (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Agbozo (4')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Togo 1-1 South Sudan
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Congo DR 2-1 Togo

Looking at past meetings between the two nations, Congo DR head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with the desired results. While Togo have shown resilience in each of their three group matches so far, we fancy the Leopards to return to winning ways at the Stade des Martyrs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Togo had a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DRDrawTogo
41.99% (-0.684 -0.68) 29.89% (0.023 0.02) 28.11% (0.662 0.66)
Both teams to score 40.79% (0.272 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.07% (0.163 0.16)65.93% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.46% (0.112 0.11)84.54% (-0.111 -0.11)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.309 -0.31)31.13% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.362 -0.36)67.46% (0.363 0.36)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (0.661 0.66)40.76% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.587 0.59)77.34% (-0.587 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 41.99%
    Togo 28.1%
    Draw 29.88%
Congo DRDrawTogo
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 12.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 29.88%
0-1 @ 11.38% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 28.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Congo DR (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Guinea
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Congo DR (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tanzania 0-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Togo 1-1 South Sudan
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 1-2 Togo
Friday, March 22 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Togo 0-0 Senegal
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Sudan 1-1 Togo
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Togo 3-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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