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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Barry Town United |
53.46% ( 0.14) | 22.34% ( 0.02) | 24.2% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.24) | 39.81% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.25) | 62.17% ( 0.25) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( -0.04) | 14.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( -0.07) | 43.34% ( 0.08) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.25) | 29.74% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( -0.31) | 65.81% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.46% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 24.2% |
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