SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
37.32% ( 0.1) | 25.2% ( 0.04) | 37.47% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.04% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.19) | 46.59% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( -0.18) | 68.86% ( 0.18) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.03) | 24.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( -0.05) | 58.98% ( 0.05) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( -0.16) | 24.44% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( -0.23) | 58.87% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.32% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 37.47% |
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