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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
7 - 0
Barry

Sainty (14' og.), Kenny (21', 52' og.), Franklin (62'), Harrington (65'), Davies (80'), Wilde (86')
Nash (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sylvester (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Connah's Quay
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBarry Town United
75.1% (0.040999999999997 0.04) 14.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.62% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.8% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)32.2% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.2% (-0.111 -0.11)53.8% (0.11 0.11)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.8% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)7.2% (0.014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.86% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)26.14% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.78% (-0.139 -0.14)42.22% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-0.119 -0.12)78.62% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 75.1%
    Barry Town United 9.91%
    Draw 14.99%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawBarry Town United
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 9.23% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.2% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 75.1%
1-1 @ 6.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.99%
1-2 @ 2.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.62% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 9.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 2-3 Connah's Quay
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-2 Haverfordwest
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 6-1 Caernarfon
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Wednesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-3 Barry
Sunday, November 19 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 0-1 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 Barry
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-6 New Saints
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 2-0 Pontypridd
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League


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