SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.48%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Barry Town United |
36.04% ( -0.04) | 24.09% ( -0.01) | 39.87% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.06) | 41.43% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% ( 0.06) | 63.83% ( -0.06) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.01) | 22.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( 0.01) | 56.58% ( -0.01) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( 0.05) | 20.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% ( 0.08) | 53.67% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.04% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 39.87% |
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